Divisive drug cartel gunbattles loom
Strategic Forecasting, a Texas-based global intelligence company that serves governments and transnational companies, reports that Mexico is seeing a trend of “fragmentation” among the country's drug cartels as factions within them try to split off on their own.
If that's right, Mexico could see continuing drug-related gunbattles in its streets as the mavericks fight to assert their independence and the established cartels try to keep them in the fold.
That's not good news for new President Enrique Pena Nieto, whose challenge has been to curtail the violence. Murders may have come down in the four months he's been in office, but not by much.
The question is if and when the bloodshed, having risen over the past decade to a level rarely seen in Mexico history, will come back down. Mexicans may have live with high murder rates for years to come.
If that's possible.